Archive for October 5th, 2015

Hyperinflated Arepa Index IX: Index Resumes Rise

October 5, 2015

arepa10

We knew it would not last, and the Hyperinflated Arepa Index (HAI)  resumed its rise, jumping from Bs. 440 to Bs. 580 in the last month, for a 31.8% rise. With this rise, the HAI is up 283% since last November 17 2014, indicating that it will likely hit the 300% rise in its anniversary.

This is likely assured, given that in the next two months, monetary liquidity (M2) will rise somewhere between 15% and 20% as has been traditional when the Government pays its end of the year bonuses. This will put even more pressure on prices, including that of the parallel rate of exchange.

HAIOct

I inquired again about the drop last time with the owner, but he sort of evaded the question, saying again that they changed their invoices (???) but there was no real drop. The drop will remain a mystery for the time being.