Just for the record, the paper “Analysis of the 2004 Venezuela Referendum and the Relation between the Official Results and the Signatures Requesting it on automated centers” by Gustavo Delfino and Guillermo Salas has been accepted for publication in the Journal “Statistical Science”. (You can download the last version there) I discussed this paper in […]
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On Mathematical Models of the recall Referendum and Fraud: Delfino, Salas and Medina part IV: The curious statistics of the audit that never was
May 23, 2006This series of four posts on Delfino, Salas and Medina is dedicated to the upcoming visitor from the Carter Center, hoping someone there will read it and will try to get an honest academic opinion on them. I will close my posting on the work of Delfino, Salas and Medina by showing how curious the […]
On Mathematical Models of the recall vote and fraud: Delfino, Salas and Medina: part III: The test of asymmetries
May 20, 2006In contrast with parts I and II of this series, this part requires some knowledge of statistics. I will try to explain things as much as possible, but it does require a little knowledge. Sorry! Based on the Delfino and Salas hypothesis, Medina asked himself: Is there anything in the pro-Chavez versus anti-Chavez votes from […]
On Mathematical Models of the recall vote and fraud: Delfino, Salas and Medina part II: Making the inconsistencies in the results quite evident
May 12, 2006While in part I of my presentation of the Delfino, Salas and Medina results, I emphasized the correlation between the signatures collected to call for the referendum to recall Hugo Chavez and the number of actual Si (Yes) votes to recall at the recall referendum, I only did that in order to use as simple […]
On Mathematical Models of the recall vote and fraud: Delfino, Salas and Medina part I: The correlations
May 7, 2006I have had a debt with this blog for quite a while, in not presenting the results of Delfino and Salas, a very interesting paper (Spanish version here, English version here) that has taken a look at the recall vote form a different angle than previous studies. In some sense this has actually been good, […]
As two mores scientific papers show anomalies on the RR, the WSJ picks up the subject
July 1, 2009This month, the journal Statistical Science accepted two more papers that provide scientific evidence that all was not well with the 2004 Recall Referendum that took place in Venezuela. This provides further evidence of widespread manipulation of the votes in the referendum and constitutes the third and fourth scientific papers accepted for publication. Curiously, none […]
More evidence of fraud in the recall vote
October 3, 2006In four earlier posts, I presented a description of the work of Delfino and Salas and the complementary work of Medina on the evidence for fraud in the recal referendum. I wrote four posts on the subject, which you can find here, here, here and here. In the second one of those posts I discussed […]
Mision Matusalen by amieres (Mission Methuselah)
June 25, 2006One of our readers, amieres, has been analyzing the Electoral Registry (REP) and found numerous interesting things that should be made public in detail. I invited him to write a post on it and he was gracious enough to accept my invitation and here is the post with all the details. This goes right to […]
One million real page reads for the Devil, how many fake pro-Chavez votes in the recall referendum?
May 14, 2006Sometimes in the next few hours, I will get the one millionth “page read” according to the salon.com ranking system. Remarkable that what started as a curiosity on my part in August 2002 has had so many visitors and despite its somewhat restricted topic has managed to stay up there in the salon.com rankings. To […]