Archive for May, 2004

May 29, 2004

Carter is in Caracas, and we have to act as if we cared (but so does the chavistas). And while Gaviria expressed confidence in the repair process,  in some places there were lots of problems for the voters going to raify their signatures. Meanwhile the Electoral Council is issuing orders for the violence to stop… So that we don’t suspect that they also issue the orders for the violence to flare up.


From the inside we get reports of extensive cheating from the officialism and (excesive?) confidence from the opposition. My take is that the violence and the cheating is random and uneffective, but I am sure the officialistas have a plan to stop the referendum from happening, probably through their personal slaves in the Supreme Court.


As usual, Caracas Chroinicles has an excellent piece, very much worth reading…


-YFGB

May 29, 2004

There are unconfirmed reports of isolated violent incidents in some centers, but things seems to be proceeding normally. The few centers I manage to pass thru this morning were pretty pack. Not heavily, but that’s not the point this time. All of them had small lines and people constantly trickling in. I hope to get the number for today and that it is good news.


– YFGB

May 29, 2004

There are unconfirmed reports of isolated violent incidents in some centers, but things seems to be proceeding normally. The few centers I manage to pass thru this morning were pretty pack. Not heavily, but that’s not the point this time. All of them had small lines and people constantly trickling in. I hope to get the number for today and that it is good news.


– YFGB

May 29, 2004

There are unconfirmed reports of isolated violent incidents in some centers, but things seems to be proceeding normally. The few centers I manage to pass thru this morning were pretty pack. Not heavily, but that’s not the point this time. All of them had small lines and people constantly trickling in. I hope to get the number for today and that it is good news.


– YFGB

May 29, 2004

There are unconfirmed reports of isolated violent incidents in some centers, but things seems to be proceeding normally. The few centers I manage to pass thru this morning were pretty pack. Not heavily, but that’s not the point this time. All of them had small lines and people constantly trickling in. I hope to get the number for today and that it is good news.


– YFGB

The repair in numbers

May 29, 2004

Number of voters that can ratify their signature: 1.29 million.


Number of signatures the opposition requires, in order to activate the recall: 2.436 million.


Number of signatures to be ratified this weekend needed by the opposition to, finally, activate the recall: 540 thousand signatures.


As a percentage of total repairable signatures: 41%


Number of people that will withdraw their signature (estimated): 60 thousand.


Percentage (of total repairable) of repaired signatures needed to activate the recall, if a 100 thousand people withdraw their signatures: 46%


Estimated rumored number signatures ratified today (as a percentage  of the total needed to activate the recall in the whole three day period): 30%


– Your Friendly Ghost Blogger

The repair in numbers

May 29, 2004

Number of voters that can ratify their signature: 1.29 million.


Number of signatures the opposition requires, in order to activate the recall: 2.436 million.


Number of signatures to be ratified this weekend needed by the opposition to, finally, activate the recall: 540 thousand signatures.


As a percentage of total repairable signatures: 41%


Number of people that will withdraw their signature (estimated): 60 thousand.


Percentage (of total repairable) of repaired signatures needed to activate the recall, if a 100 thousand people withdraw their signatures: 46%


Estimated rumored number signatures ratified today (as a percentage  of the total needed to activate the recall in the whole three day period): 30%


– Your Friendly Ghost Blogger

Rise, Repair, Repeat

May 28, 2004

Checking with a few of my friends that had to reppair their signatures today, things seems to be proceeding in that form of normality that has become so common in this country. Being one of the lucky few venezuelans with a paying job, I can’t post during the day. Keep the comments coming!


– Your Friendly Ghost Blogger

Guest Ghost Blogger Primer

May 27, 2004

Taking charge of The Devil’s Excrement as a Ghost Blogger is extremely difficult in any circumstance. Doing so during the so-called “reparo” process is, simply, daunting. I doubt anyone envies me. I won’t say much about me as I think it will give me more freedom to write anonymously in the tradition of The Federalist Papers, albeit with much less talent. I live in Venezuela in a middle-class neighborhood and I have followed the Venezuelan pseudo-revolutionary process since its inception. First with some hope, later with increasing desperation and exasperation.


I will not try to copy the Devil’s style, I couldn’t do that. I hope the readers are faithful enough to await his return, despite the diminished quality of this month writing. I will try to tell you what I know and what I fail to understand (there is a lot of the latter!). I ask the readers for help: correcting mistakes, passing on information through the comments, and, perhaps, with the humongous task of correcting my deficient english grammar.


I will sign my posts with the signature below, in order to distinguish them from whatever The Devil’s manages to send from his heavenly well-deserved vacation.



– Your Friendly Ghost Blogger

Guest Ghost Blogger Primer

May 27, 2004

Taking charge of The Devil’s Excrement as a Ghost Blogger is extremely difficult in any circumstance. Doing so during the so-called “reparo” process is, simply, daunting. I doubt anyone envies me. I won’t say much about me as I think it will give me more freedom to write anonymously in the tradition of The Federalist Papers, albeit with much less talent. I live in Venezuela in a middle-class neighborhood and I have followed the Venezuelan pseudo-revolutionary process since its inception. First with some hope, later with increasing desperation and exasperation.


I will not try to copy the Devil’s style, I couldn’t do that. I hope the readers are faithful enough to await his return, despite the diminished quality of this month writing. I will try to tell you what I know and what I fail to understand (there is a lot of the latter!). I ask the readers for help: correcting mistakes, passing on information through the comments, and, perhaps, with the humongous task of correcting my deficient english grammar.


I will sign my posts with the signature below, in order to distinguish them from whatever The Devil’s manages to send from his heavenly well-deserved vacation.



– Your Friendly Ghost Blogger