A summary of problems with recall vote

September 5, 2004

A very brief summary of what we know:


-Exit polls: Very low probability of sample being taken from those final results according to Sanso and Prado, using three different exit polls.


-Hot Audit: Incomplete, opposition present in only 27, in those Si won handily. Most never completed.


-Cold Audit: Random Sample being questioned, may not have been that random. CD not allowed to choose boxes.


-Coincidences: Very low probability of happening, 1 to 3 in 1000 according to Prof. Taylor.


Quick Poll: Only thing that there is agreement it was OK by all parties.


What do you think? Paranoia? Just coincidences? De que vuelan, vuelan?


(In Spanish there is a saying: I don’t believe in witches, but that they fly, they fly)

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