Four bits of oil

September 20, 2003

-Venezuela has suspended supplying the Dominican Republic with oil under the San Jose accord. According to the Minister of Energy and Mines:  “We will not allow our oil to finance terrorism, as  is happening right here in Venezuela”. This all refers to the “plot” to overthrow Chavez by former President Carlos Andres Perrez with the collaboration of the President of the Dominican Republic, something for which we have seen no evidence. But I wonder if our esteemed Minister of Energy Ramirez has mush for a brain and forgot that we provide Cuba with 2.5% of the country’s daily oil production, financed at a 4% rate for fifteen years. Is he also going to cut that off? Or is he so stupid that he can not distinguish from any terrorism and what Fidel Castro does every day here, there and in his own country?


-The Venezuelan Government announced that it will not recognize the Iraqi representative at the upcoming OPEC meeting. All Arab countries will recognize it, which goes to show what I have always said: Why are we members of OPEC? We do not understand our partners, they are our competitors and they really limit the sovereignty of our country.


-The Minister of Energy and Mines announced that the oil field Tomoporo will be opened for bids from foreign companies to operate it. This field is the most promising discovered in decades and is expected to produce half a million barrels of oil a day by 2010. Clearly this “nationalistic” Government has the idea of running an oil industry under the “toll booth” concept in which the Government charges a tax and foreigners run the operation. How nationalistic, no?


-Oil production Figures: The Government says we are producing 3.2 million barrels of oil a day, above the OPEC quota of 2.95 barrels of oil per day. However, other sources say:


OPEC: 2.57 million barrels of oil a day.


International Energy Agency: 2.25 million barrels of oil a day.


Energy Information Administration: 2.35 millions of barrels of oil a day


Gente del Petroleo: 2.61 millions of barrels of oil a day


Interesting how those fired from the oil industry provide the most optimistic picture, no?


Letter on Cuba by Vaclac Havel, Arpad Goncz and Lech Walesa

September 20, 2003

Thanks to Scott’s Burtonterrace I read the letter/opinion in the Washington Post also in the UK’s Daily Telegraph as linked by the Instapundit also, which is written by Vaclav Havel, Former President of the Czech Republic, Arpad Göncz, Former President of Hungary, Lech Walesa, Former President of Poland, I wonder if someone will disqualify them as rightwingers for writing this:


Earlier this year, Fidel Castro’s regime imprisoned 75 representatives of the Cuban opposition. More than 40 co-ordinators of the Varela project – which draws on the current Cuban constitution and calls for the holding of a referendum on the freedom of speech and assembly, the release of political prisoners, free enterprise and free elections – and more than 20 journalists, together with other representatives of various pro-democracy movements, were sentenced in mock trials to prison terms ranging from six to 28 years, merely for daring to express an opinion other than the official one.

Yet the voice of free-thinking Cubans is growing louder, and that is precisely what Castro and his government are justifiably worried about. Despite the omnipresent secret police and government propaganda, thousands of Cubans have already demonstrated their courage by signing project Varela. The regime’s response to project Varela, and similar initiatives, is at best disregard and at worst persecution.

The latest wave of confrontations, accompanied by anti-European diatribes from the Cuban political leadership, is an expression of weakness and desperation. The regime is running short of breath, just as the party rulers in the Iron Curtain countries did at the end of the 1980s.

Internal opposition is growing in strength; even the police raids in March failed to bring it to its knees. The times are changing, the revolution is ageing with its leaders, the regime is nervous. Castro knows only too well that there will come a day when his revolution will perish with himself.

No one knows exactly what will happen then, but it is clear in Brussels, Washington, Mexico, among the exiles as well as Cuban residents themselves, that freedom, democracy and prosperity in Cuba depend on support for Cuban dissidents, and that such support will increase the chances of Cuba’s peaceful transition to democracy.

Today, it is the responsibility of the democratic world to support representatives of the Cuban opposition, irrespective of how long the Cuban Stalinists manage to cling to power. The Cuban opposition must enjoy the same international support as political dissidents did in divided Europe.

It cannot be claimed that the American embargo of Cuba has brought about the desired result. Neither can this be said of the European policy, which has so far been considerably more forthcoming towards the Cuban regime.

It is time to put aside transatlantic disputes about the embargo of Cuba and to concentrate on direct support for Cuban dissidents, prisoners of conscience and their families.

Europe ought to make it unambiguously clear that Castro is a dictator, and that for democratic countries a dictatorship cannot become a partner until it commences a process of political liberalisation.

At the same time, European countries should establish a “Cuban Democracy Fund” to support the emergence of a civil society in Cuba. Such a fund would be ready for instant use in the case of political changes on the island.

Europe’s peaceful transitions from dictatorship to democracy, first in Spain and later in the East, have been an inspiration for the Cuban opposition, so Europe should not hesitate now. Its own history obliges it to act.


Opposition presents draft for regulations

September 19, 2003

By preparing such a ludicrous draft of the proposed regulation for the recall referendum, the CNE has lost a lot of credibility and the draft, which contained numerours violations of the law has been deemed “useless” by the opposition. The democratic coordinator presented today a very simple set of regulations with fifteen articles which it wants to become the starting point of the new discussion in the CNE next Tuesday. This puts the CNE on the spot and may help discard most of the previous proposal.


Daniel shows Chavez’ economic failure

September 19, 2003

Daniel of Danielnews has prepared a power point presentation with the main economic numbers of the Chavez era, demonstarting the failure of his policies in a very simple and straightforward way. .


Explosion in honor guard headquarters

September 19, 2003

A very strong explosion shook the headquarters of the honor guard that is supposed to be in charge of the President’s security. Fortunately there were no damages to people. Equally fortunate was that fact that so far the Government has not blamed the opposition for the bomb. For me, it is quite difficult to understand how this could have happened, the headquarters of the honor guard is next to the Presidential Palace and the whole area is surrounded by soldiers, guards, armored vehicles and blockades. According to the Minister of Inetrior and Justice it was “thrown” by people that got on top of a garbage can. Some security…….


Getting ready to cheat in the elections?

September 19, 2003

The Head of the “Tactical Command of the Revolution” Guillermo Garcia Ponce, proposed today that the participation of international organizations as observers in electoral processes in Venezuela be regulated. He said: ” This is due to the fact that given the Venezuelan political situation the interference  by foreign countries or covert organizations would, if they were given the character of participants, an inadmisible interference in Venezuelan politics”. Now, given that this comes after a sharp attack on the US Ambassador’s visit to the Electoral Board two weeks ago, makes me think that the Chavez Government itself plans to interfere with the upcoming referendum and does not want to have any foreign observers present.


I have a very simple proposal to resolve the issue: Let’s give these international observers the same rights, facilities and regulatory framework than the more than 5,000 Cuban advisers that are presently in Venezuela including Chavez’ bodyguards, “sports’ instructors, medical doctors and the like. That would be fair, wouldn’t it?


Did Chavez chicken out?

September 19, 2003

 


Reportedly Hugo Chavez cancelled his visit to the US, because he was afraid he might be subpoenaed for the trial against him brought by the victims of the April 11th. march (see article right below). Chavez, who relishes these trips, was going to visit the UN and everything was ready for it. However, someone warned the President that he could be subpoenaed. Chavez has been accused in a Florida Court of violating the rights of those killed and injured that day, based on the fact that the military plan activated ahd already been banned by an International Court.


El Llaguno shooters declared innocent

September 19, 2003


 



The pictures above, which I have taken from Carlanga’s website, were taken last year on April 11th. This is a bridge called El Llaguno in downtown Caracas. A peaceful and unarmed opposition march was going under this bridge and these people began shooting and they were 19 deaths and over one hundred injured, it is all on tape, these are frames from a movie shown then live on TV. Some of those shooting were identified and brought to trial (It was not that simple, one judge freed them and the Supreme Court had to order them jail at one point). By the way two of the three on trial were officials of the Libertador Municipality representing Chavez’ MVR party.


Night before last, a judge declare these shooters .I understand the prosecutor is going to appeal, but only because the decision questioned his work. He also believed they were innocent. The judge’s argument? This was legitimate Defense and they were “under a state of necessity” and the accusation was “weak”. This is justice in the Vth. Republic.


Fourteen articles that violate the Constitution and the Law

September 18, 2003

Not much time to translate the full article, but there is a very complete discussion of the fourteen articles of the proposed referendum regulations that violate either the laws or the Constitution of Venezuela in today’s El Universal. The first link is the discussion, the second link is article by article and which law is violated……


Approval of regulations postponed until Monday

September 17, 2003

 


The discussion of the regulations for the referendum which I dubbed the Big rip off yesterday, were postponed until next Monday  “to allow for the comments and criticisms to reach the CNE” according to the President of that institution Francisco Carrasquero. This is a result of the outrage (with and without the prefix “out”) of the opposition, over the attempt to use the regulations to slow down the process.


 


According to the illustrious President of the CNE, criticism of the CNE’s lawyer, who is known to be very pro-Chavez, is unjustified as this simply represents a proposal, subject to change and discussion. Well, either Mr. Carrasquero thinks we are stupid or he is. First of all, most members of Chavez’ MVR have supported the regulations fully, saying that they are “just” or that they can be approved with minor modifications as was stated by Jorge Rodriguez today, one of the pro-Chavez members of the CNE. Second, if I were Mr. Carrasquero, I would fire the CNE’s lawyer. The reason is simple, according to Teodoro Petkoff (who is a member of the advisory Board to the CNE appointed by the Supreme Court) in his Tal Cual Editorial, as many as 12 of the articles of the regulation contain violations of the Constitution or the Law, including numerous violations of the “LOPA”, the “Ley Organica de Procedimientos Administrativos” which regulates how every single request and procedure of the Government has to be handled by every single  Government office. Thus, if the CNE’s lawyer does not even know these basic laws, how can he be expected to advise, write and participate in the preparation of such an important law by the CNE?


 


But we would have to be very naïve to think that the lawyer for the CNE went on his own and wrote this abominable draft for the regulations without consulting anyone. The philosophy behind the proposal was clearly to impede the recall from taking place. No petition for a referendum in Venezuela or anywhere in the world is handled by the electoral authority like the regulations propose. No referendum, in Venezuela or anywhere in the world, bans the initiating petition from being taken from home to home as a way of gathering more signatures. No referendum petition ever, has been handled as if it were the final election like these regulations attempt to do. The real and important act is the vote for the recall, not the petition requesting it. It is that day that things matter. What is obvious is that since Chavez and his cronies know that there is no way in Hell that they may win the recall, they are simply trying to block, tackle, mutilate, maim and castrate any attempt by the opposition to submit a valid request for a recall referendum. And that was what the CNE’s lawyer attempted to do, coached by someone from Chavez’ MVR clearly with Mr. Carrasquero’s knowledge, since he defended it so strongly.


 


While I do not have time to translate it tonight, there is a very funny article by Elides J. Rojas in today’s El Universal with a preposterous parody with a set of regulations for referenda which I recommend to those that understand Spanish. Rojas’ proposed Article 1. should be enough to get the gist of it:


 


Article 1. The following types of organizations are prohibited  to participate in the gathering of signatures: Political parties, civilian organizations of any nature, unions, professional or employer’s associations, companies, sports teams, media or neighborhood associations.


 


The rest is equally funny and ludicrous, in fact so much, that it reminded me of the real proposal as presented yesterday.