Friday night I wrote that somebody had to be lying because the numbers did not match, that is the Carter center using CNE data, was reaching a different conclusion about “coincidences” than the CD. Yesterday, I managed to get a hold of a spreadsheet with the original data. I looked at some states and saw many of these “coincidences” but needed a little break, so I did not look much at it but an analyst friend, who reads the blog regularly did and sent me his results based on 19042 machines out of the total of 23874 machines or notebooks (Some notebooks had no machines associated with them and this data is from the first day):
– If you look at how many numbers repeat per table (“mesa”) then you get:
402 coincidences for the Si vote and
311 for the No vote
This is what the Carter Center and the OAS were talking about
–If you look at the polling center level (which may contain more than one mesa) then you get:
805 centers have Si coincidences
647 centers have No coincidences
If you add the number of machines in the 805 centers that are involved in the coincidences you get 1879 machines which is what the CD has been talking about.
So, there was no lying on this subject, it was only a matter of nomenclature and both sides being extremely sloppy as they were taking about much different things. Now we need some modeling! Still waiting for volunteers!
The Devil's Excrement 
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