(Elecciones3D) When I discussed abstention levels and the possible impact on the election, I was thinking of what would happen if abstention were not the 15-20% polls suggest, but more like 40%. Indications are that it may be much higher than this, even above 50%. If this is the case, then it becomes a question of who has the biggest hardcore group and/or mobilizes people and I m not sure who would win in that case. At some point it is no longer favorable to Rosales but to Chavez, but I have no clue at what level.
Where I voted, abstention seems to be running around 35%, compared to 15% for the recall vote, but the number I gave of 50% above seems to be reliable.
The Devil's Excrement 
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