Inconsistent numbers on Chavista petition drive

November 25, 2003

If there is something Chavez and his supporters have been good at is giving out the same message to the media. This time around, it appears as if the ban by the CNE stopped them from coordinating the announcements and a lot of contradictory information ahs been give, Yesterday, Deputy Dario Vivas said in Tal Cual (by subscription) that they would get the signatures to have the recall vote against 23 of the 38 Deputies. The Vice-President said last night (El Nacional, by subscription) that they had used up all of the 7.2 million forms and that meant that many people had voted, which in a different paper he uses to extrapolate that Chavez has 60% popularity!!!. In fact, if the Vice President’s logic is used with the numbers given by the Chavista Headquarters, which I do not believe anyway, the number is only 22.5%!!!Today an initial report said that they had obtained 2.3 million signatures and now they are saying they got 4.23 million signatures, but when you read the fine print they only had 2.7 million people signing, the 4.213 million arise from when you multiply by those that could sign against more than one opposition Deputy. To me, this sounds high given what we saw during the four days and the reports from the opposition about how many signatures they had been able to collect in different districts. In any case, the CNE will tell us the truth in one month and if they got sufficient signatures they have to still go vote in the real referendum and the opposition will be there. Given the tone of the Government in the last few days, I find these numbers inflated. They know they suffered a defeat, you can see it in the way they act.


Note added: In the best style of Joseph Goebbels, last night Chavez instaed of using the official number from MVR’s campaign headquarters, he used the 60% spurious number from his Vice-President. Will they try now to turn this lie into the truth?

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