Archive for March, 2005

Military and Presidential News

March 14, 2005
  • Scanning
    the official sites I found an event that is apparently very innocuous, but
    it is scary to me. Radio
    Nacional de Venezuela
    reports
    that more than 3000 young students participated in a parade honoring the
    Venezuelan flag. I am not a big fun of parades or very fond of the
    military. I think that taking 3000 kids
    to parade to honor the flag sounds very military to me and it reminds me
    of the parades of youngsters in fascist regimes

  • From
    the comment section I received the tip to link to a Carabobo site. It
    seems that the Governor of Carabobo, burping General Acosta Carlez, is not
    very happy with the MVR. Apparently there has been some tensions with the
    official party, and one may wonder if he had some differences
    with president Chavez. One thing is for sure, now people from Carabobo
    have a full weekend of entertainment as Acosta Carlez (one of the two
    singing generals of Alo Presidente) is the host of the new program “Alo mi Pueblo”.
    The show runs for four hours on Saturdays, so it does not compete with the
    six hours of Alo Presidente on Sundays. I must say, though, that Acosta
    Carlez’s outfit for Alo mi Pueblo
    is much but much more colorful than Chavez’s!

  • The family
    of one of the soldiers that died last year after being burned in a
    confined cell in Fuerte Mara, in the Zulia state, has
    asked the ombudsman
    to reopen
    the case. The family is not happy because after the investigation, the
    doctors that treated the burned soldiers were the ones being charged
    whereas, according to them, nothing was done to the military responsible
    for the punishment. The story is particularly tragic as last week another
    burning case took place in a confinement cell in a military station in Cumana.
    The family asks human rights organizations in Venezuela
    to take the control of the investigation so that the fundamental right to
    life is respected.

  • You were
    probably wondering why Chavez had stayed in Paris
    instead of being home receiving president Jatami of Iran. The reason was
    not that Chavez was waiting for Miguel arrival to Paris
    to say hello, as some readers had suggested, but rather that there was a mechanical
    problem with the presidential plane.
    Fortunately, he called his
    international airborne AAA support team (Cubana de Aviacion) and was able
    to get to Caracas the very next
    day.

         Jorge Arena

“Viaje a la semilla”

March 12, 2005

There are some news that I think are much more important
than others. Yesterday TSJ decision to back off from a previously approved
sentence is in my view, a major milestone that marks the end of  institutionality in Venezuela.
Regardless of what we individually think about what happened on April 11, 2002, the fact that the
Supreme Tribunal, the highest judicial instance in the country, backed off from
a previous decision is the judicial opening of a dangerous Pandora box. The
situation is very well explained in Daniel’s
blog.

What prevents now anyone whose case has been decided by the
TSJ or the old CSJ to get back to the revamped TSJ and ask that his/her case be
reopened? We could go all the way down to the decision of allowing the
president to create a Constitutional Assembly to write a new Constitution, in
which case, the new Constitution could be declared illegal and Chavez six year
term unconstitutional. We could even go back to Carlos Andres indictment and to
Chavez pardon…you see the picture. This is the judicial equivalent of solving a mathematical recursion or, for more literary
readers, recreating in judicial terms a famous story by Alejo Carpentier called
“viaje a la semilla” (trip to the seed).

Already, an opposition
leader
has declared that he will ask the TSJ to review the sentence where
Chavez was pardoned for his coup attempt against the government of Carlos
Andres Perez in 1992.

Of course, we all know that this will not happen. Not now.
From day one, right after the disaster in Vargas and  the 1999 Constitutional Referendum, the
government made it clear that the election of  new regime- friendly judges for the TSJ was
their first priority (refer to my post “Rains
and the Quest for Absolute Power”
). Recently,  the government, still not happy with the
state of affairs at the TSJ, proposed in a move denounced by Human Rights Watch,
to pack the Court with new judges and elected them with a single majority
ruling when usually, a 2/3 rule is used for the election.  

So we all know what the result of those “trips to the seed”
will be while the current regime is in place. Nevertheless, the fact remains
that a dangerous precedent has been set, that institutionality is dead and that
no final judgment will ever again be final in Venezuela.

Jorge Arena.

 

The TSJ backs off

March 11, 2005

This is important. I just read
that the TSJ just decided unanimously to change their previous decision
absolving the militaries involved in the events of April 11, 2002. I am
no lawyer, but I see it as a dangerous precedent. It means that no
final decision will ever be final.
Jorge Arena

News from a lazy ghost

March 11, 2005

Dear readers,

I am one of the two ghosts that are ready to blog in case
there are some interesting news fromVenezuela.
Some of you may remember me as a ghost blogger in Daniel’s blog. Since Miguel
does not pay me as much as Daniel, I will not work as hard as the last time. If
you have any complaints, you can address them to Daniel for recommending me and
to Miguel when he comes back.

So here are some news .

1.- A member of the
National Assembly proposes that the
CITGO
sale be approved by a popular Referendum. He has doubts about the
sale and claims that since CITGO is an asset for Venezuela,
the people of Venezuela
should be consulted before the sale.

2.- The president of Iran
has arrived to Caracas for a formal visit.
Note that it is Jose Vicente Rangel the
one in the picture with Mohammad Jatami.
Chavez is probably still in France
(below).

3.- Meanwhile Chavez was still in Paris
visiting Chirac after
making some oil deals with the French company Total. BTW, in a French press conference
described here
by Daniel, he said that OPEC should not increase its oil production and he
talked again about the plot to kill him. It has become his favorite theme.

My French is quite elementary, but I checked the main pages
of some major French newspapers and could find just a minor report that Chavez
was in Paris . I checked le
Monde
(no news), le Figaro
(one article) and Liberation (no news). Maybe the French
speaking readers like Daniel can give me a hand here. I find it quite
surprising that the French press would not be more enthusiastic about Chavez
visit.

4.- And the government of Venezuela
decided to get rid of the imperialistic Internet English abbreviation imposed
by the IETF. According to resolution
240
of the Science and Technology Ministry, the domain “gov” (from
“government”) will be replaced within two years by the more Spanish
abbreviation “gob” (from gobierno). So I can sleep better tonight thinking that Chavez government is really having important priorities in Science and
Technology.

Jorge Arena.

Travelling for a few days, ghost bloggers ready

March 10, 2005

I will be blogging lightly for the next few days as I will be
travelling to the World Orchid Conference for ten days and have no idea
how good the access to the Internet will be. I will have two ghost
bloggers in case someything interesting does happen.I leave it up to
them to identify themselves or not. It just seems that everytime I
travel something happens or maybe there is always something happening
here anyway. Hopefully this time it will be quiet. This was the reason
I had no work to do last night, just packing and planning. Cheer to all!

A Theory: Socialchavism by Manuel Caballero

March 10, 2005

Historian Manel Caballero wrote this article in yesterday’s El Universal.
I thought it was too long to translate and was going to write excerpts
from it, but it was impossible. Given that I had no work tonight (more on
that in the next post), I simply transalated the whole thing. I hope
you enjoy it as much as I did (The article, not translating it):

A Theory: Socialchavism by Manuel
Caballero

After
Playa Girón, Fidel Castro declared his regime “Marxist-Leninist” a formula
invented by Stalin to designate his own personal dictatorship and which later
the Chinese would adopt as the last name of their ideology to signify that, in
contrast to those miserable revisionists from Moscow, they continued to be Stalinists.

Foreseeing
a future invasion of Venezuela,
that maybe he will fight against from the first row of the Military Museum,
Chavez announces the conversion of his, into a new socialist country. But since
the time of Marx and Engles, there were already various types of Socialism, as
they stated it in the Manifest. Alive, half dead and completely dead today,
three models have occupied the XXth. Century: the social democratic one, the Stalinist
one and the African socialism.

Which model
does Chavez ascribe to? It is the purpose of the following lines to figure this
out.


I. The despised social democracy.
It is customary to say, in the
history of the internationalist workers that the first one was “that of Marx”,
the second one was Engels, and the third one was “that of Lenin”. The second
one had the longest longevity and the most prestige: it lasted exactly 25 years,
from 1889 until, in 1914, the Great War made it explode; each one of the
parties in conflict turned themselves into patriots and began to back their
respective Government in the carnage.

But before
that, the second internationalist was attacked by all currents: from the
Russian Bolsheviks of Lenin, to the French pacifism of Jean Jaurés and the recognized and admired Karl Kautsky,
whom was called between jokes and truth “The Pope of the international”. But
this all ended, as I have said, in 1914: the socialist divided themselves in
two irreconcilable currents: the revolutionaries, represented by Lenin and the
Russian Bolsheviks and the reformists, represented by the German social democracy,
whose leader continued being the old “Pope” who now Lenin called with bile “the
renegade Kautsky”

We have no
intention of making a history of the second internationalist here. We will only
say that it knew periods of relative prosperity and terrible defeats, the first
allied with the Communists of the Popular Front, the second ones in the hands
of the various forms of fascism and its Communist allies. And that we had to
wait until the final decades of the XXth. Century to have a resurgence, a more
powerful one. Governing and well differentiated from the old Marxists socialisms,
in France Spain, England and
in some fashion, in Italy
(because of the conversion to social democracy of the Communist Party, the largest
one in the Western world)

What is of
interest, in the course of these notes, is to establish which are the current
characteristics of that socialism and how would it fit in its molds the novel “Socialchavism”
We will point out only three elements: The political , the economic and the
social one.

For Modern
European and American Socialism, socialism and democracy are almost synonyms:
the later is nothing but a way of complementing and extending the former.

The Social
democracy means representativity, public and individual freedoms, independence
of powers, and depersonalization of power. But above all, the system is ruled
and follows the law. Which excludes any form of tyranny or approach to it, as
well as the take over of power by the use of violence, by an armed fight. It is
a given that under a social democratic Government, the armed forces do not
rule, they obey.

On the
economic front, social democracy pronounces itself for a mixed economy and, according
to the circumstances and the trends, it leans towards state interventionism and
the respect of market laws; but in no case should one thing substitute the
other one. The objective is the creation of wealth, before proceeding to
distribute it.

On the
social front, social democracy attempts that wealth be distributed with equity,
but starting form the base that the wealth exists and it is the product of work
by society as a whole. Unions are formed to defend the rights of workers, not
to destroy the foundations of the wealth of the nation

The social
democratic model is today being applied or on its way to being applied by the
modern Latin-American left: Lagos in Chile, Lula in Brazil,
Kirchner in Argentina and as
is expected, Tabare Vasquez in Uruguay.

Chavez,
even if he does not share their political, economic and social objectives,
would like the opinion of the Continent to include him in this group.

But there
is a very grave obstacle: It is them that do not want that their model be
compared to the militaristic model of Chavez. With subtlety, they stay away
from him as if he stunk.


The social
democracy can not be the model for Socialchavism for a myriad reasons: because
the hegemony of the Venezuelan discards the essential compromise with a representative
democracy; because his regime is one of gifts, which is not interested in
productivity. Because above all, social democracy was the dominant regimen
during the forty years of civilian Governments, a formula which Chavez hates
with all his soul.

II Marxist Leninism. It is only alter Lenin’s death
that the Soviet regime began calling itself “Marxist-Leninist”, as a prior step
to five years later begin to call it “Stalinist”. Its main objectives are: on
the political front, the opposition to representative democracy and political
plurality. The Soviet one was a regime of a single party and the smallest
dissidence was penalized with severity: the insane asylum, the Gulag, and even
in cases of minor infractions, the firing squad.

On the
economic front, it attempts to exterminate private initiative and to place all
of the economic life, from production to distribution, in the hands of the State.
As a consequence, it created an inefficient and monstrous bureaucracy that in
real life demonstrated its lack of viability after seventy years and crumbled
like a house of cards.

On the
social front, one can define the Soviet
State as the creator of a
society whose defining characteristic was equality in poverty. For the immense
majority of Soviets there was a very special form of socialism: they would take
from each person according to their work, and they would give them almost
nothing, the shelves of the supermarkets were perpetually empty, thanks to an
economy which was permanently unproductive. By the way, that equality in
poverty was not for everyone, at the end it created a new rich bureaucratic class,
the nomenclature.

The most
conspicuous inheritors of that regime are currently those of Cuba and North
Korea, and still on the political front China, because in the economic front,
the great Asian power learned the lesson of Den Xiaoping, to whom it did not
matter if the cat was black or white, as long as it would catch mice, and today
it is the seat of one of the most savages capitalism in history.

In
general, the remnants of the nostalgic left, those that cheer Chavez as their Latin
American herald, are in favor of, more or less undercover, of the Stalinist
model.

This is
perhaps the preferred model for Chavez, for that new model that he is proposing
to the world. But there are three elements that prevent him from proposing it
as a model. The first one is that in its beginnings, in the takeover of power,
as all modern revolutions, the Bolshevik was an anti-militaristic movement and
only when it was forced by circumstances did Lenin come around to using for his
defense officers from the old Czarist army.

Nobody can conceive Lenin putting his movement
in the hands of a putschist lieutenant colonel and least of all one who only had
felt the smell of gunpowder in the parties of his hometown, over there, deep in
the Caucasus and on top of that, that when he heard the first shot, he would
run to take refuge in the Military Museum neighboring the Kremlin.

The second
element is that to implement a Dictatorship like the Soviet one, it may have
been relatively easy on people that had never known democracy; in Venezuela,
and the great battles of the opposition have shown it, there is a tradition, a
democratic culture, that not for being short in comparison with the four and half
centuries of authoritarism and submission, is less important and makes it more
difficult to implement a tyranny.

In third
and last place, the biggest obstacle is that this model is dead and everything
makes you think that it has been buried alter the fall of the Berlin Wall. And
since two thousand years ago, nobody has been a witness to a resurrection.

III African Socialism. We are referring mostly to the sub-Saharan
countries, even if you may apply it to some Arab countries like Algeria or Egypt. Their main characteristic
tends to be chaos; if we obviate the old South Africa, where since independence
and under the guide of Nelson Mandela, the model that they are trying to apply,
with some success is the social democratic one, in all of the countries of what
for ease of language is commonly called black Africa, of which the largest majority
have proclaimed themselves to be socialist, they have bloodily oscillated
between tyranny and civil war, in a process that reminds us of Latin America
after its independence.

Some of
them have taken their “socialism” to the extreme that a “Republic of Congo”
used for many years as it’s won a red flag with the hammer and sickle.

On the
political front, the characteristic has been military domination: these are
military dictatorships, with a regimen with a single party, with merciless
repression against any vestige of opposition and, above all, the cult to the
personality of the President: almost the first act of the new socialism is to
erect statutes.

Like all
military regimes, they practice unhealthy nationalism, with a loud and string
voice, professional and, in occasions, genocidal.

On the
economy, these “socialisms” are systems in general subject to the whims of the Dictator,
who, in general, takes care more of his own personal wealth than that of the country
he rules.

As a consequence,
there is practically not one of these territories that does not know the darkest
poverty, hunger and the humiliation of living off public charity, the crumbs
that rich nations send as charity.

On the
social front, it is sufficient to say one thing; there is no other region of the
World where poverty is so atrocious, where there is a lack not of food, but
something more immediate: water

And this, once
again, while the African nomenclature is usually swimming in abundance, with
fat numbered accounts in Swiss banks and their Government officials traveling all
over the world in veritable flying palaces that were never dreamt by the
writers of the tales of the One and a Thousand Nights

IV The Question. With the extermination of our
economy, with the wastefulness with our income, with poverty growing each day at
the same rhythm, the gifts will no longer be possible because the money has ended
up in a barrel without bottom.

With the
military doing and undoing and with the Bolivarian nomenclature fattening their
numbered accounts. To which model of socialism is the one Chavez proposes
closest to?

Only in Venezuela: How politics could disqualify Venezuela from the World Soccer Cup

March 9, 2005

Venezuela does not have a soccer tradition. In fact, it has never even
come close to qualifying for the World Soccer Cup. Despite the Italian
and Spanish immigration of the 40,’s and 50’s, Venezuela has remained a
baseball country, due to the influence (and organization!) of the
American oil companies in the oil fields. Venezuelean soccer had improved
a little bit, but it was not until a coach named Richard Paez took over
about four or five years ago, that Venezuela really began improving.

In fact, the team improved so much that this is the first time that the
Venezuelan team has not been eliminated this early in the
qualifying year, with surprising victories against Paraguay and Uruguay.
Venezuela, for the first time ever has a chance, but….

The problem is politics,
even if this does not involve the Government at all, except that the
Supreme Court is involved. Basically, two groups are fighting for
control of the Venezuelan Soccer (Futbol) Federation. The 20 year old
President of the Federation saw his rule threatened and the Board
issued electoral rules that were not approved by all the members of the
Federation. Those opposing the current President went to the Courts and
the Electoral Hall (!) of the Venezuelan Supreme Court suspended the
elections. The problem is the FIFA has given the country until March
19th. to elect its new authorities. If it does not, Venezuela will not
be eligible to participate in the World Cup and the dream will be
shattered. This is because FIFA has rules that prohibits local
federations from resolving their conflicts via the Courts. The
Constitutional Court will hear arguments on the 12th. and if elections
are not held before the 19th. the two World Cup matches against Colombia and Bolivia that will take
place before the end of the month will be forfeited.

I have said it before, bunch of amateurs!

Self-censorship or change of heart?

March 9, 2005


A reader and friend sends this in, wonderring if this was self-censorship or a simple change of mind. On the left you have the cover of the “printed” edition of El Nacional which appeared in the website of that newspaper. The main healine is a fairly scandalous one in which General Baduell, the same one that said the military movements the other night were routine, says that the Inspector General of the Armed Forces is investigating the troop movements. This was later replaced by a milder vesrion on the right, in which it was switched with the news of the statements by the Attornety General of the “perverse” inflirtation of the country’s police at all levels. The second one was the one that appeared in the actual printed edition. Given that the muzzle law came into effect yesterday, one can only wonder if the Editor thought the first version was “too strong” given the new law, or if he simply had a change of heart. I guess we will never know.

Deus ex machina from the Prosecutor

March 9, 2005

Attorney General/Prosecutor Isaias Rodriguez appealed yesterday to his
literary background and produced in the best stylie of literary
“deus ex machina” a dramatic development in the Danilo
Anderson case, when prosecutors went to the beach apartment
of the parents of lawyer Antonion Castillo, searched it and found an
arsenal of weapons. According to Rodriguez, there was enough C-4 to
blow up “all of Venezuela” and they also found , anti-tank mines, home
made explosives, weapons and police uniforms from the Chacao
municipality.

Interesting, three months after Castillo was killed, they search this
apartment without any witnesses or lawyers (which violates the law) and
find all of the evidence to prove Castillo was involved in Anderson’s
murder. This after months of no evidence of anything that linked
Castillo to Anderson, while all testimony indicate money was involved.
How convenient! This really gives a new meaning to the term Deus ex
Machina!. At the same time the Prosecutor says they now have “precise
evidence” about the intellectual authors of the crime. I think I
remember hearing the exact same thing in late November. Hope we can
learn about it soon and not hear in June that they know exactly who may
have done it.

Spoken like a true statesman

March 8, 2005

Once in a while, President Hugo Chavez can say exactly the right things
if he puts his mind to it. That was the case of his statements in Qatar
about the crisis in Bolivia. Surprisingly, the local news outlet has
not given much space to it, but here is exactly what Chavez said in
reference to what is happening there:

“I support Mesa.We don’t want destabilizing movements in the region”

All I can say, his first words on the Bolivia subject are exactly what one would expect from a
statesman. Will he speak again on the issue and ruin it?

(Yes, this is a positive statement by me, about Chavez, what can I say)