Archive for March, 2003

Graphical view of fast advance

March 25, 2003


In this map, which you can blow up and see much better here, you can see the advance of US troops into Iraq in the last four days. At the bottom right is Kuwait. The orange is the troops advance and the white circle is Baghdag. I think is pretty impressive, even if Reuters disagrees and financial markets acted poorly. By the way, a defense expert calls the advance: “This is one of the fastest advances ever achieved, surpassing that of the British liberation army in the dash from the Seine to Brussels in 1944”

Salam Pax in USA Today, CNN and even in Spanish!

March 24, 2003

Salam Pax’ weblog is certainly getting to be quite famous and so are blogs. In this article in USA Today , not only is Salam’s blog mentioned but also Diane’s as well as other active blogs reporting on the war. Argentina’s Clarin also picked it up, concentrating more on whether Salam is for real or not, it closes with my favorite Salam phrase, if you dont belive I am real, don’t read me. Finally, Instapundit picked up this report by darkblogules that CNN mentioned Salam and even the URL on TV. Darkblogules concludes we are now simply obsolete as the TV announcer did not even bother to explain what a blog is.

Is this the Smoking Gun for WMD?

March 24, 2003

Via The Command Post blog I learn that there were missiles at the chemical factory taken over near Basra, will this be the missing smoking gun for weapons of mass destruction?

Iraq, no walkover, will be tough

March 24, 2003

 


I am trying to understand why people think that the war is going “slower than expected”. Casualties yesterday were less than the number of people killed in Caracas on any given weekend. (Note: Roughly 75-80 people are killed every weekend in Caracas alone in the poor neighborhoods). In fact the estimates for civilian casualties range from 135 to 203 at this time and military ones are 19 casualties and 12 captured or missing in action.  And somehow I have troubles understanding why Reuters reports that this time the war might be different than the ’91 one. Well, in 1991, the Desert Storm began on January 16th. And it took exactly 43 days for a ceasefire to be declared, so I am not sure what it is they are talking about. Moreover, it was not until Feb. 15th. that Iraq actually offered to even leave Kuwait!!. The ground offensive began after over a month of bombing on Feb. 23d. and two days later Hussein ordered his troops to retreat from Kuwait. As usual, people rely simply on qualitative arguments that are simply false. As I write this ABC News (TV, not website) and the New York Times are reporting that troops are gathering 50 miles from Baghdad. 50 miles!!. They have gone 300 miles in the desert trying not to get killed and in less than three days they are 50 miles away and people think is going badly? There seems to be something wrong with this picture. Are Americans so cocky that they thought they would get to Baghdad without resistance? How does this jive with the human shields that are surprised that some Iraqis dislike Saddam?


 


But no matter, the Dow drops a zillion points because this is taking too long, making the stock market as much of a crap shoot as my brother thinks Formula 1 races have become under the new rules. And I do enjoy it when our illustrious and cynical Vice-president says “what is being done to Iraq today may be done to anyone”. Is that his only concern? Where was he when Noriega was ousted? Or when Grenada was invaded? Does he remember the Falklands? He says he is worried about the UN, but nowhere in his statements do I see concern for people from either side. How about the Iraqis that have suffered the whims of their leader for almost two decades? I imagine in his mind they don’t count, after all, Saddam was elected unanimously by the Iraqis last fall. Yes, it would have been wonderful if Saddam had been killed the first day and the whole thing had ended that day, but it did not happen and I expect that Baghdad will not be easy to take, but it will happen sooner rather than later. In fact, the Boston Globe reports that things appear to be getting ready for something to happen in Baghdad.

The command post has moved, or is trying to

March 23, 2003

The Command Post has moved to a new server and the link I provided the other day is not working yet. For those of you that want to keep tabs of the news out of Iraq through what still is the best source I have found, here are two links that are currently working:


http://216.134.209.67/~command/


http://www.command-post.org

The stupid reality of naive human shields

March 23, 2003

 


Reading the following account by one of the so-called “human shields” in Iraq:


was shocked when I first met a pro-war Iraqi in Baghdad – a taxi driver taking me back to my hotel late at night. I explained that I was American and said, as we shields always did, “Bush bad, war bad, Iraq good”. He looked at me with an expression of incredulity. As he realised I was serious, he slowed down and started to speak in broken English about the evils of Saddam’s regime. Until then I had only heard the President spoken of with respect, but now this guy was telling me how all of Iraq‘s oil money went into Saddam’s pocket and that if you opposed him politically he would kill your whole family. It scared the hell out of me. First I was thinking that maybe it was the secret police trying to trick me but later I got the impression that he wanted me to help him escape. I felt so bad. I told him: “Listen, I am just a schmuck from the United States, I am not with the UN, I’m not with the CIA – I just can’t help you.”. Of course I had read reports that Iraqis hated Saddam Hussein, but this was the real thing.


I can only wonder what prompts supposedly intelligent human beings to just leave and join others in reckless action based on preconceived naïve ideas. What do they expect? For all Iraqi’s to love their President just because he is Iraqi? Saddam Hussein has been in power for over two decades, during which he fought a war with Iran, he invaded Kuwait and now the country is once again engaged in a war due to his refusal to get rid of a number of weapons, some of which like the Scuds, have already surfaced and others, such as chemical weapons, may yet be found or have been found already. But in the middle, Saddam Hussein has also used chemical weapons on his own people, starved them and even had his own family members shot for treason. But a Jewish photographer from the US, who lives in London, is surprised to learn that some Iraqi’s don’t like Saddam? How naive can you be?


I guess three years ago I would have even thought the story was simply fake, another propaganda publication by either the British or US Government. But now, after what we have been through in Venezuela, I know this guy is for real, much like those that still believe and repeat that Chavez won with 80% of the votes, the number coinciding with what they think is the percentage of poor in Venezuela, number that they parrot away making it the “truth”. And these same people somehow find it hard to believe that the poor are now mostly against Chavez, after their purchasing power has been decimated in the last four years, despite the fact that Chavez still gloats that he himself was responsible for high oil prices. These same poor people have seen crime shoot up in the last four years, all social programs for the poor disappear (yes, all, not a single one remains in place). These people with barely enoughmoney to eat daily, now have to provide “special” payments to the free Government schools their kids attend; otherwise classes simply can’t take place. The poor can also see that not a single accusation of corruption has resulted in any conviction or jailing and that even assassinations are simply forgotten after a few months. Despite this, Chavez continues to say that he is governing for the poor, while the truth is that he is governing to preserve himself and those that surround him, only the “process” is important, let the economy be destroyed, if it helps defend the process. But somehow, naïve activists, reporters and even US Congressmen defend Chavez, because of what they think he represents, without paying much attention to what he really has done or has stood  for.  Thus, it is not surprising to me to see these “human shields” visiting Iraq and saying it is surprising that some Iraqis are anti-Saddam. If we ever have an election, which I still have serious doubts about, they will likely be very surprised that Chavez lost it. They may even think that the opposition cheated or that the powerful oligarchs financed an anti-Chavez campaign that was impossible to stop. On the other hand, maybe I am the one being naive and simply too optimistic as usual, and ten years from now some of these people may be coming to Venezuela as human shields. Who knows?

Institutional Military Front criticizes Chavez’ Government on war in Iraq

March 22, 2003

Go figure, the Frente Institucional Militar, an anti-Chavez Group composed of retired military came out today criticizing the Chavez administration for not coming out openly agaisnt the Iraqi war……Weird and inconsistent…..

Chavistas break up opposition demonstration

March 22, 2003

Today the opposition had planned a rally in Caricuao, in the West of Caracas to celebrate the success of “The Firmazo” in areas considered to be hardcore pro-Chavez, but where the number of signatures in favor of the recall referendum was over 70% of the population. However as seen in the picture below, violent Chavez’ supporters showed up using guns, tear gas and covering their faces, forcing the event to be cancelled under the  indifferent watch of the police from the Libertador District whose Mayor is a close Chavez supporter. The violent Chavistas lit fires and used motorcycles, guns and fireworks to scare people away and stop them from attending the rally. This is the concept of democracy that these people support.


Chavez Deputy on the Chavez Government

March 22, 2003

Chavez’ MVR Deputy Luigi D’angelo had harsh words on the Chavez Government today (El Nacional, A-5, no link possible), something very rare in Chavez Stalinist-style MVR party. He said:


“The way it is going, I can’t believe in this process. The Government and the leaders of MVR are taking us to a precipice. They led us to the oil strike which destroyed the economy. Tell me a Minister of the Interior that was worth it. What does Lucas Rincon know about public order? Do you remember the Ministers of the Interior of AD, like Luis Pinerua?. Those were good.”


About the Bolivarian circles he said: “They are just beggars, they just want to get something. They don’t defend the Government (??) I was always against that. When they said they were going to have a dual function, political and social, it did not convince me. It is either one thing or the other”


D’Angelo closed by reiterating he is a Marxist and wants to fight from within, I just wonder whether they will let him…..

Americans Protest, Iraqis celebrate

March 22, 2003


From The Politburo, via Instapundit: Definitely worlds apart


(By the way check out the story on how the author of The politburo is banned from North Korea, cute!)