Archive for March, 2003

Moises Naim in the NYT

March 6, 2003

Reading my brother’s blog I am reminded that I also wanted to provide a link to the excellent article in the NYT by Moises Naim on Venezuela called “Hugo Chavez and the limits of Democracy”. I particularly point to the following paragraph which is what I have been pointing out all along since I started my blog:


“It is a measure of Venezuela’s toxic political climate that even though the constitution allows for early elections, and even though President Chávez has promised that he will abide by this provision, the great majority of Venezuelans don’t believe him. They are convinced that in August, when the constitution contemplates a referendum on the president, the government will resort to delaying tactics and dirty tricks. With international attention elsewhere, Mr. Chávez will use his power to forestall an election and ignore the constitution.


Venezuela’s citizens have been heroically peaceful and civil in their quest. All they ask is that they be given a chance to vote. The world should do its best to ensure that they have that opportunity.”


To those that tell me today that why should I doubt that there will be a referendum in August, I remind them, there can be no elections today in Venezuela due to a decision on a technicality by the Chavez controlled Supreme Court. This blocks recall referenda on 30 Deputies, 10 Governors and dozens of Mayors, all Chavez supporters. Why would it be any different four months from now? We recall just four of those Deputies and Chavez’ project to expand the Supreme Court by ten Justices does not pass. Convenient, no?

Terrorism, Venezuela and Colombia

March 6, 2003

 


Up to now, I have not written much about links between the Venezuelan Government and terrorist groups. Much has been said about possible links between Chavez and the Colombian FARC or other Latin American terrorist groups. Or the charges against the Chavez Government by a former pilot of the Presidential plane that he was present when a million dollars was sent to Osama Bin Laden. But I have never seen much proof of this and thus, I have believed there is sufficiently going on locally, which is clear and transparent, that I do not have to resort to talking about inferences or evidence about which I know little about. Hugo Chavez has always been sympathetic to terrorist causes, but that does not make him a collaborator until proven so. In fact, he has publicly expressed this sympathy for terrorist groups and was initially non-committal when the World Trade Center was attacked. He was also the first Head of State to visit Saddam Hussein in Iraq eight years after the Kuwaiti invasion. (In fact, he once told the international press:” How was I supposed to know that no Head of State had visited Baghdad since the war, if I had known it, I would not have done it!”). Chavez did write a very supportive letter to Venezuelan terrorist Carlos “The Jackal” not long after his inauguration.


 


            But I can not ignore the events of the last two weeks and, in particular, the aggressiveness of the Colombian Government towards Hugo Chavez and Venezuela. Or the statements by US Gen. James Hill that Latin America may be becoming an attractive spot for terrorist groups to relocate, as reported in the Financial Times. (No link, I have no subscription and the article is now two days old).


 


            Last weekend, Colombian police reportedly told the Venezuelan Army (note the subtlety, the Army, not the Government, nor the police) about a truck carrying one thousand kilos of explosives towards Colombia, supposedly to blow up a bridge in the highway that joins the two countries. Now, you have to understand that the Venezuelan Government blames the opposition for everything, calling them terrorists. But in this case, those detained have not been referred to as terrorists by any Venezuelan Government official yet, as if two thousand pounds of explosives was simply candy. But Colombian President Alvaro Uribe was quite explicit and certainly not very diplomatic when he said that “he was ready to bring back terrorists that attack Colombia, whether they are in Venezuela or somewhere else”. Uribe insisted that terrorists are planning their attacks and hiding in Venezuela and he went even further saying that “the Venezuelan Government through actions or omissions has converted Venezuelan territory in safe haven for irregular groups”.


            All of this has met with swift criticism from various local sources. Former intelligence Head Eliezer Otaiza said that this is a preconceived plan to link the Venezuelan Government to terrorism, saying that as many as 13 foreign intelligence groups are operating within the Venezuelan borders to create a confrontation with Colombia (Otaiza has no official position in the Venezuelan Government right now). And Venezuelan Foreign Minsiter Chaderton said today there is a “massive” conspiracy against the Venezuelan Government, including in the conspiracy the letter written by US representatives asking Secretary of State Powell to invoke the Interamerican Democratic Charter of the OAS. Meanwhile, Gen. Manuel Rosendo, who only a year ago was a close Chavez loyalist, said today that Venezuelan policy towards terrorism suppresses the military defense of the country and he questions that the Army has done so little or said so little about the terrorists attacks on or from Venezuelan soil. Thus, something is clearly up. It is hard to believe that US and Colombian criticism is part of a conspiracy, least of all when three large bombs exploded in Venezuela in the last two weeks and the huge truckload of explosives was found within our territory. I don’t believe in coincidences and there are too many floating in the air on this issue.


 


 

Tale of two Pinochio’s

March 6, 2003

Two of the biggest liars in Venezuela Minister of Interior and Justice Rincon, who announced Chavez’ resignation last April and Hugo Chavez, contradicted themselves in public statemnets. Chavez said last Sunday in his nationwide program that they had videos of the bombers of the Spanish and Colombian Embassies. Well, he should have informed his Minsiter of the Inetrior about this as he said he knew absolutely nothing about it. Great, he is the man in charge of security and all police forces…..


Chavez continued his Pinochio act today when he said the country was producing 2.5 million barrels of oil a day, He closed by saying that he will not leave the Presidency until 2021, 18 years from now, which has no Constitutional basis, but you know, HE is the law after all.

How can the media be soooo bad?

March 6, 2003

Amazing how bad some news outlets can be about headlines. In this link, there is a news story about Venezuela’s February 5.5% inflation which is the highest monthly number since 7.1% in June 1996, but somehow it got twisted around to 7.1% in February 2003, nice headlining. Never seen anything that bad in any blog, no? 

US Congressmen ask Powell to invoke Democratic Charter

March 5, 2003

 


 US representative Lincoln Diaz-Baralt, sent a letter to Secretary of State Colin Powell asking for the US Government to invoke the OAS Interamerican Democratic Charter. In a very short and succinct letter, the Florida Congressman, uses arguments very similar to those used here to justify calling the Venezuelan Government a Dictatorship to ask the US Government to invoke Article 20 of the Democratic Charter which says the Charter can be invoked whenever an alteration of the Constitutional order takes place in a member state. Congressman Diaz-Baralt cites the detention of opposition leaders, the murders of the three dissenting military of Altamira and the Chavez’ Government ties to terrorism. (I tend to emphasize the first two, have few proofs of the last one). The letter was also signed by the following Congressmen according to another source: Mario Diaz-Balart (Florida and brother of Lincoln); Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (Florida); Roy Blunt (Missouri); Curt Weldon (Pennsylvania); Dan Burton (Indiana) and Chris Smith (New Jersey). I have been trying to find the letter in English, will link to it if I find it.

Tal Cual Editorial: And poor Joao what?

March 5, 2003

 


I thought of summarizing the following Editorial from today’s Tal Cual newspaper. But it has little in excess, goes to the point. This is the same Government that quickly finds evidence to detain opposition leaders, but forgets the dead, from either side. But Teodoro Petkoff explains it quite well:


 


And poor Joao, what?


 


Tomorrow it will be three months since the murders of Plaza Altamira, perpetrated by Joao De Gouveia.

The trial has been postponed several times and is virtually paralyzed. The trials for the crimes of April 11th. are also not moving and, besides those that are in jail, which are four, the other five have not been detained. The investigations about the bombs thrown against the headquarters of Globovision and Asi es la Noticia never went beyond the state in which Jose Vicente Rangel and Diosdado Cabello announced, with a face full of circumstance, that “ the corresponding investigations will immediately be open”. The families of those dead in the demonstrations of Los Proceres and Charallave are also awaiting for the detention and trial of the reported authors of those murders, also reportedly identified. We also know nothing of those responsible for the men that died in San Juan de Los Morros, nor the one shot down in Plaza Bolivar. The homicides of five peasants of the South of Lake Maracaibo have also not been clarified, despite the fact that in the region it is a loud secret who paid the murderess.

If we restrict ourselves to the precedents, there is no doubt then that, as soon as public opinion begins to forget a case or is shocked by a new one, be it the terrorist that placed the bombs in the Embassies of Spain and Colombia, “pointed out” (by Chavez) and everything, they will all fall into the territory of forgetness.


 


The same luck will probably fall on the investigations over the ambush and massacre of La Campiña, the same as those that never went past the point of a show off in the horrendous crime of the three soldiers and the women accompanying them.



Impunity is the name of the game. It is a dangerous game. Because not only political crimes remain without sanction, but dozens and dozens of common homicides are never clarified. We are facing the bankruptcy of our police institutions, clearly overflowed by the flood of crime and also severely affected by political events. The Metropolitan Police of Caracas is almost an ornament , unarmed like it has been, and the old PTJ(Investigative police), whose impractical name is almost a symbol of the organizational disaster in which it has been submerged by the double “chavizmo” which overwhelms it (Hugo’s and Marcos, its Director) and everyone laughs at it. The Disip (Intelligence police) gallops to the rescue of Digepol (its predecessor). And to think that many of Chavez’ voters believed that what the country needed to confront personal insecurity was a military officer.

Catching up: Inflation up 5.5% in February

March 5, 2003

Going through things that happened in my absence I find the news that inflation was up 5.5% in the month of February, (this is not 5.5% annualized, this is only February) which Hugo Chavez immediately blamed on the opposition. Imagine, this is the first month with price controls! Now, according to the Central Bank, food and beverages went up “only” 4% thanks to price controls. Way to go! 

Highlights of my absence

March 5, 2003

A bomb exploded on Sunday in Maracaibo…..very similar to the ones that damaged the Colombian and Spanish Embassies…..Chavez continued to blame the opposition for the bomb….despite the fact that 1,000 kilos of explosives were found in the border with Colombia…..they were carried by the FARC, closer to Chavez than the opposition….no arrests over the weekend…..maybe it was a time of disguises…no negotiations either as Gaviria and Government traded sharp words….